Friday, June 9, 2017

Trends and super trends


  1. Hydrogen fuel cells with smaller batteries will replace today's [huge] battery powered cars as well as hybrid vehicles - hydrogen fuel cells are really disruptive to petrol, diesel and electric cars, trucks and buses. Todays electric vehicles (EV) is, hopefully, just an intermediate stage as these huge batteries are not sustainable both from a mineral mining (cobalt) and pollution (CO2) point-of-view: 

    • Published in the journal Ingeniøren, the Swedish meta-study, which analyses and summarises studies completed so far in the field, found that around 150 to 200kg of CO2 equivalents (environmental impact equivalent to that of the release of CO2) are produced for every kilowatt hour (kWh) storage capacity of electric car batteries.

    • For example, taking two electric cars, the Tesla Model S and Nissan Leaf, which have 100kWh and 30kWh batteries respectively in Denmark, the study says these capacities are equivalent to 17.5 tonnes and 5.3 tonnes of CO2 being generated respectively.
    •  To put this in perspective, a round-trip from Stockholm to New York, by International Civil Aviation Organisation figures, releases around 600kg (0.6 tonnes) of CO2 into the atmosphere. In Germany, annual emissions of CO2 are currently almost 10 tonnes per person.
    • Therefore, the study has calculated that a fossil fuel vehicle can currently drive for more than eight years before it reaches the same environmental impact of a Tesla. For the Nissan Leaf, with its smaller capacity battery, this figure comes in at three years

    Every battery being used in today's electric vehicles are heavily depending on Cobalt which is a rare metal and Cobalt mining happens in Africa, predominantly Congo, thousands of miners in Congo dig by hand. Children, too.
     
  2. Nanotechnology will resolve multiple material issues like replacing expensive platinum in hydrogen fuel cells. 

  3. SO business based in US and Europe are being disrupted on price and performance by [Indian low cost companies](http://fortuneindia.com/2014/october/india-in-the-era-of-disruption-1.3290). I[ndian companies with Indian executives](https://qz.com/429017/can-indias-it-services-companies-weather-the-perfect-storm/) are much more cost-efficient than European or US based companies with high cost executive layers despite their “updated” business models with deployment of Indian infrastructure operation. These European or US companies needs higher profit margins to cover their expensive executives and also the running cost of their Indian infrastructure operation is higher (predominantly due to more people) than their Indian competitors simply because they do not know the culture and how to manage Indians efficiently.
    ---
    > The larger and more successful a company, the greater the risk of complacency. When a company is sitting on billions of dollars of cash, fat margins and good market share, it’s hard to create a sense of urgency and paranoia in the organisation and its shareholders. /Quote from QUARTZ India./
     

    Image Credit: Nilanjan Das Image Credit: ; Bandeep Singh



  4. CRISPR-Cas9 is for fixing diseases and faulty genes in our DNA, people will live a longer healthy life, but will it also create superhumans? 
    Image credit: Royal Society of Biology

  5. Silicon for General Purpose computing , Quantum qubits for special workloads. Pushing the limits of semiconductor technology (5 nanometer technology is just around the corner) is more important than ever as companies race to develop the latest applications for cognitive computing, cloud computing, and IoT. 
    Photograph of a quantum chip constructed by D-Wave Systems Inc
    IBM Research Alliance’s 5nm transistor (Photo credit: IBM)

  6. Bio transistors - DNA transistor for sequencing:
    Photo credit IBM

  7. Carbon (humans) vs Silicon and algorithms and [python] machine learning - silicon
    algorithms and machine learning will surpass humans in many areas. 

  8. Labor vs cognitive robots - cognitive robots will replace many cognitive jobs, not only pure
    labor jobs. 

  9. Future jobs are in microbiology, mathematics (algorithms) and machine learning. 

  10. [Bio]IoT will replace smart phones. 

  11. Wearable glasses will replace screens. 

  12. Chat bots like Alexa, Siri, Mitsuku, Zo, Rose etc all gets cloud based and cognitive and will be
    in all households and on your “arm”. 

  13. Algorithms will be the most valuable asset to companies in near future 

  14. All social media data will not be encrypted and available to the authorities - internet is truly 
    “open”. 
  15. Blockchain - superior digital ledger system
  16. Azure Stack. fully integrated compute, storage and networking clustered Azure certified infrastructure (a single Azure Stack is a single region containing a single scale unit consisting of 4-12 servers) that provide “private cloud” services as well as hybrid cloud GW to public Azure. 
  17. Humans has already transformed into [Transhuman] by use of their smart devices, i.e. these Transhuman has become completely dependent on their smart devices in all their daily tasks and consequently they become completely “lost” when their smart devices are left behind, lost or without power. Auxiliary power devices are becoming the next “big thing” and is selling in large numbers to ensure a never ending power supply. In parallel, the media and society at large is becoming more and more focused on AI and its possible impact on automation and jobs, but no-one is questioning the Transhuman and their smart devices.

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